Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz, lowering the chance of a US blockade lift announcement by May 31, 2026 to 76% YES.

Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz, impacting global oil transit. WTI Crude Oil hitting $160 in April now at 1.4% YES.

Bitcoin dropped below $74K after Iran-U.S. peace talks stalled and the Strait of Hormuz closed. On Polymarket, the likelihood ...

S&P 500 hits record high amid US-Israel-Iran conflict and oil at $96. Market for higher open on April 17 at 100% YES.

US naval blockade of Iran continues, making military action unlikely before April 2026. Military action ends by April 30 at ...

Bulgaria's election exit polls show Rumen Radev's coalition likely winning. Radev as next Prime Minister at 95.9% YES.

China’s GDP ratio to the US has fallen from 78% to 64%, and the real estate crisis is making things worse. The market for ...

Iran conflict raises FX hedging concerns for Asia-Pacific economies. Bank of Japan decreases rates after April 2026 at 0.1% ...